(Author's disclaimer: This took me so long that it's now near irrelevant with everything that's already gone down in the free agency frenzy that's gone on in the NBA to this point, but hopefully it serves some purpose. For instance the "Chris Paul can't go to LA" has taken things to a whole 'nother level of "Wow, did that just happen, er, more surprisingly, unhappen?" I think if David Stern could have a do over on that one, he would have let things be, but it's too late for that now, what's done is done. Biggest losers would have to be the Lakers; who never gained Chris Paul, and lost the overly sensitive Lamar Kardashian in the process, and the Hornets, who have lost a good deal here and will continue to lose leverage the longer it takes to make a deal and now with the leadership in the Hornet's front office in a total clusterfuck - does Dell Demps have no power? do you have to make a deal that all 31 other owners like? Isn't that messed up? Anyway couldn't release this without that note, as the NBA seems to have completely lost control.)
P.S. If you're not a basketball fan, you're probably gonna want to skip all the way down the page straight away. Here we go.
Who's your girl? You know the one that you could never really get over? The one who played tricks on your heart just cause she could and you didn't really mind - cause you mostly wished she would. You don't don't know why but you kept looking up her number. A fool's hope? Maybe, but it always felt fun anyway, even the painful moments made you still feel alive. So here we are, the NBA wronged me, the system was (still is) stupid, but like that old flame who once did me wrong, I'm hopelessly incapable of not looking back her way. Not looking for that message, that call, that chance to smooth things over, only inevitably, to be wronged once again. I know it's coming, but NBA, you're so exciting, so endearing, of course' I'll welcome you back into my life. And that is how a vicious abusive relationship is maintained in my world. It's all about second chances folks!
So there you have it, the lock out, I'm over it - pricks.
Let's focus on the future and what's new and different and more importantly exciting for 2011-12. Aside from the major change, which will see the players recover only somewhere between 49-51 percent of the basketball generated revenue, compared to the 57 percent they acquired according to the old deal. Last year's basketball generated revenue was in the ballpark of 3.8 billion dollars, so we can safely assume Latrell was making enough to feed his kids, regardless of the head count, and even at 50 percent the players are still not the poor victims they've portrayed themselves as throughout the lockout. That said the players do stand to lose, nearly a billion dollars over the course of the 10 year period of the deal. Which will likely not last that long as both sides can option out after 6 years, something either side will do if they feel they are getting the short end of the stick. With TV deals set to expire around that time, leverage may have shifted into the players favour by then. Regardless, we need not start fretting over the next lockout for at least another 6 years.
I'll start with some of the systemic changes to the league, I'll try not to become too "jargony" in my explanations and just keep to the plain and simple as it can get a bit complex in a few areas, or for lack of a better word, boring. One of the biggest changes and something the owners clamoured for is the new "amnesty clause", this clause enables teams to come out from under a burdensome contract that is severely limiting the flexibility of their payroll (read: Rashard Lewis). This wrinkle will allow the owners to cut ties with a deal gone terribly sour, an while they still have to pay said player's deal, it no longer counts against the team's salary cap. So in the case of a player like Rashard Lewis that frees up in 43 million dollars in cap space over the next two years. No that was not a typo, if the Wiz 'amnesty' Lewis, that's 21 million they can now use to pursue other free agents this off season alone, and the rest is off the books for next year as well.
- Amnesty - (n) (pl. amnesties) 1. a general pardon, esp for political offences. 2. a period during which people may admit an offence without fear of prosecution.
That's the Oxford English dictionary's definition an it seems pretty apropos. I just wish each general manager who signed one of these "amnesty" worthy deals had to publicly call a press conference, admit their transgression, and apologize to their franchises' fans, that's what I want to see. Just a little accountability, that's all I'm asking for. So with that let's take a look at some my top 5 most overpaid/terrible deals currently on payroll in the L. Needless to say, these players are prime candidates to see their teams execute their newly acquired amnesty clause.
Rashard Lewis ($43.8m/2 years remaining).
Gilbert Arenas ($62.4/ 3 years remaining)
Travis Outlaw ($28m/ 4 years remaining)
Baron Davis ($28.7m/ 2 Years remaining)
Brandon Roy ($68.7m / 4 years remaining) (This one is almost not fair because if Brandon Roy were to stay healthy he would just be overpaid and not be an 'amnesty guy', but as it stands, this is a crippling contract over the next 4 years for an injured player; think the Allan Houston deal in New York, or my nightmares for the past 10 years.)
Jose Calderon ($20.3m/ 2 years remaining) (I included this one because I assume most of my readers are unfortunate fans of the Toronto Raptors, this is you amnesty guy folks!)
Another change that went in the owners favour was the change to shorter contracts, the owners took one year off the previous length of the deals, which makes sense to me. As thw following has been a developing trend for years; player X is in a contract year, player X plays hard, plays to their potential and in the off season gets overpaid with a multi-year deal in a general managers attempt to acquire their talents, player X, now set for the next 5 years, promptly mails it in and plays at a value far below the worth of the contract thus infuriating the fans and coaches of franchise X.
In this case, player X is Jerome James and franchise X is the New York Knicks. James signed a deal worth 5 years/ 30million back in 2005 to which you respond, "who is Jerome James"? Exactly my point, these were the deals that we're killing the NBA. You can see his 09-10 stats (the final season of his Knicks deal here to the left <-----. This is only kind of a joke, because it is a true story and there are countless other examples just like it. (Well, most aren't nearly this bad, yay Knicks!). The new deal isn't perfect but at least we'll have to put up with one year less of these deals. And who knows maybe the owners have wised up and won't indulge in bunch of the deals that leave a look on your face similiar to the the one Raptors fans must have shared when it was announced they had signed Amir Johnson for 34m /5 years. Seriously, for that signing alone Colangelo should have been let go (read: fired) on the spot, not re-signed to an extension. IMHO. So contracts shortened by one season, teams can re-sign players for 5 years and new teams can sign players for 4 year terms. Probably still too long for my liking but, again, no one has a gun to the owners head stating they must sign the plays to full length max contracts.
In this case, player X is Jerome James and franchise X is the New York Knicks. James signed a deal worth 5 years/ 30million back in 2005 to which you respond, "who is Jerome James"? Exactly my point, these were the deals that we're killing the NBA. You can see his 09-10 stats (the final season of his Knicks deal here to the left <-----. This is only kind of a joke, because it is a true story and there are countless other examples just like it. (Well, most aren't nearly this bad, yay Knicks!). The new deal isn't perfect but at least we'll have to put up with one year less of these deals. And who knows maybe the owners have wised up and won't indulge in bunch of the deals that leave a look on your face similiar to the the one Raptors fans must have shared when it was announced they had signed Amir Johnson for 34m /5 years. Seriously, for that signing alone Colangelo should have been let go (read: fired) on the spot, not re-signed to an extension. IMHO. So contracts shortened by one season, teams can re-sign players for 5 years and new teams can sign players for 4 year terms. Probably still too long for my liking but, again, no one has a gun to the owners head stating they must sign the plays to full length max contracts.
The trade rules have changed somewhat, in the past the collective salaries of those parties switching teams had to be within 125 percent of one another, that total has now been upped to 150 percent increasing trade flexibility and making it easier to complete possible trades. One exception/difference will come when sign and trades are no longer allowed. You know the deal, the player signs with his own team for the max length of the contract and for the max money and is immediately dealt, a loophole in the system, this loophole will be covered in two years time, meaning players will finally have to decide between the security of that extra year, or their desire to play somewhere else.
So we've got shorter contracts, less chance for the owners to screw up their own teams, though they still will. (As we will see when we look at the need for spending this off season the free agent pool to choose from) it just won't be for as long, by the same player.
One change that benefits the players is a series of bonuses that actually promote and reward achievement, imagine that. If a player, like say Derrick Rose or Kevin Love, overachieves in the early years of their rookie contract by making All Star teams and All-NBA teams then that player is now entitled to a larger extension salary. Something that actually makes sense, all we need now is a penalty for players who dramatically underachieve the expectations of their contracts. This is only logical, therefore it will never happen.
So that's the new and different (the overpaying of mediocre role players will be no different, but remains highly laughable) and at long last here's what has me excited for the coming season:
a) The New York Knickerbockers - I must begin with my beloved New York Knicks. Finally relevant in the world of professional basketball once again. This revival comes after years of mediocrity, bloated contracts, under-achieving-chucker point guards (sorry Steph), and outright general poor play weighing us down. (Quite literally in the case of Eddy Curry on most of these accounts.) Last year the Knicks took a new direction; the superstars and scrubs direction, selling the kitchen sink to acquire Carmelo Anthony from the Nuggets - about 3 quarters, two dimes and a nickle to get a crispy dollar in return. This left us with Amare Stoudemire, Melo, Chauncey Billups and, well, not much else. With the Big 2 + 1 eating up over 50 million cap dollars and no one else on the team making over 1.8m. Eeek. Toney Douglas has shown himself to be a serviceable back up pg who can change the pace and provide a scoring boost. In spite of the fire sale that was the purchase of Carmelo Anthony, I was behind the trade at the time and still am today. We came away with the best player in the deal and that player is in his prime. He and Amare give the Knicks two bonafide stars, and as such they will be counted on to do the heavy lifting, especially in the scoring column. Our back court could certainly use a lift as Billups based days are behind him barring a post 30, Nash-like resurgence, which I'm not counting on. In fact he very well could be an amnesty type contract for us to free up space this year, and an interesting pick up for a team needing a veteran PG on the cheap. We'd love to have him but not for the money. As far as our guard play? Where will we get a lift? The obvious answer is Chris Paul. Who, in spite of the lockout's attempt to empower it's small market teams ability to hold on it's superstars, has already conceded he will opt out of his contract at season's end and has tagged New York as his preferred destination. It seems unlikely that we could land Chris Paul but we will certainly need some improved guard play if we hope to make a run. Early reports have us picking up Tyson chandler which we dramatically improve our defence and give us arguably the best front line in all of professional basketball. Good things are underway here.
- The 2 week NBA Off-Season Bonanza is well underway. This should be bonkers. Because of the lockout there hasn't been an NBA off season to this point and when the lockout ends on December the 9th, shit is going to hit the fan! For one thing, as part of the new CBA, every team needs to spend AT LEAST 85% of the cap for the next two years, that total then goes up to 90% after that. At present the cap sits at 58 million and the luxury tax line is 70 million. (With increased taxation for those who overspend, to penalize the Lakers and Mavericks of the league -teams who annually over spend compared to the smaller market squads.) This is an attempt to have everyone's spending on a somewhat even playing field. An attempt at competitive balance if you will. Because of this wrinkle, several teams will have plenty of Christmas shopping to do in order to fill out their training camp rosters in time for the Christmas Day start date to the NBA season. Furthermore, we'll get to see the effects of the new "Amnesty Clause" as teams begin to choose to how they will deal with the dead weight on their teams. Will they pull the chute on those contracts or wait until the free agent crop improves next NBA off season, when they will also have a better handle on the CBA and how the whole Amnesty thing is going to play out. Usually this would all play out over the course of the 4 month period between the end of June and end of October, but not this year, this year we get to see all the mayhem go down at once in a 2 week free for all. What's more, is that the teams have all this spending to do, and the free agent class this year is just fair, to say the least. So what does that equal, you got it, more bad contracts! Yay! We're right back into the situation that led to a lockout in the first place. This is why it may have been better to blow the system up than to simply band-aid it, but I digress. Here's my the top 5 teams most under the cap, these teams will have to make moves to get to the 85% minimum.
Top 5 Teams Way Under the Cap
1. Washington: $34.4 million (including Lewis' amnesty clause)
2. Denver: $33 million (including Harrington's A.C.)
3. Indiana: $28.5 million (including Posey's A.C.)
4. Sacramento: $26.2 million
5. New Jersey: $23.1 million (including Outlaw's A.C.)
1. Washington: $34.4 million (including Lewis' amnesty clause)
2. Denver: $33 million (including Harrington's A.C.)
3. Indiana: $28.5 million (including Posey's A.C.)
4. Sacramento: $26.2 million
5. New Jersey: $23.1 million (including Outlaw's A.C.)
6. Toronto: $17.7 million (including Calderon's A.C.)
Top 5 Teams Looking to Make a Splash (Spend Now and Win Now)
New Jersey Nets
Houston Rockets
New York Knicks
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
Indiana Pacers
Top 5 Free Agents Available* Italics if no longer available
Top 5 Free Agents Available* Italics if no longer available
Guards - Jamal Crawford, Baron Davis (after he's amnestied), Aaron Afflalo, Rodney Stuckey, Jason Richardson (Orlando)
Forwards - David West (Indiana) , Thaddeus Young (Philadelphia), Caron Butler (LAC), Vince Carter (Dallas) , Shane Battier (Heat)
Centers - Marc Gasol (Memphis), The Man Known Simply as Nene, Tyson Chandler (Knicks) Chris Kaman
What's also interesting is this; most years the most highly coveted free agents at each position are scooped up first, setting the standard or bar for subsequent players value across the board at that position during that off season. This year, that's all out the window as teams must begin right away to fill there teams regardless of where the marquee free agents land, though they'll surely be looking to land those as well. There will still be that trend to some degree but certainly not in the same way it's been in past years. And finally, we get to see what's going to happen with Chris Paul and Dwight Howard. With CP3's open admission that he does not intend to re-sign with the Hornets next season, he has all but forced their hand. If the Hornets hope to avoid a situation similar to the hostage takeover Carmelo Anthony performed in Denver last season, they'd be well served to trade Paul away as soon as possible and I think that's exactly what they'll be looking to do. The situation with Dwight Howard is very much the same, although he's been a little more wishy-washy about his plans to leave. Though I think anyone who has followed the NBA closely has him leaving at the season's end and if the Magic hope to get anything in return I'd expect him to be on the move before too long as well. And that's just the tip of the of the free agent iceberg. It should make for an exciting next couple weeks complete with more poor money management by NBA GM's, coupled with optimistic fans, only to quickly become disappointed when they realize their disillusionment, and are left to scream, "oh wait, we paid THAT for THIS!?!" Enjoy.
- The Return of the King - Once again one of the most talked about and anticipated seasons will be that of Lebron James and the Miami Heat. As polarizing a team as there ever was, you either love them, or, more likely, you love to hate them. It's no secret that many revelled in watching the Heat choke away their championship aspirations down the stretch in last years finale. And we all enjoyed the LeBron jokes that followed.
Public enemy number one, LeBron James, the best basketball player on the planet, all around douche bag. Apparently this is an image Lebron wishes to shed following last season seeming embrace of the villain image, maybe being hated wasn't for him and it's what led to his collapse in the playoffs. If that's the case, ditch the image, and become a winner Lebron. Lebron has spent the offseason sans headband, smiling incessantly, making self deprecating jokes about himself in McDonald's commercials and generally being an all around good guy, will this shake his villain tag remains to be seen, I can't think the fans will be quick to forgive and forget not to mention it's far easier to root for David over Goliath.
That said, this off season should provide an already potent Heat line up with an opportunity to grab a few more veterans and possibly a player of Shane Battier's ilk with the mid-level exception. Because of the way last season ended, and with the sky high expectations of this coming season, the Heat remain the highest for of drama the NBA has to offer. Remaining the unquestioned team to beat for now, at least until we see where the dust settles with NBA free agency and the potential movement of Chris Paul and Dwight Howard.
Wow... that took so long, here's the latest instalment of the Hip Hop 2.0. Keeping you up to date on the best new hip hop as it happens dating back to the last couple months. Only a few new tracks this week after a whole new chart was unveiled just over a week ago.
Hip Hop 2.0
Lw Tw
Lw Tw
18. 20. Underground Kings - Drake
na. 19. On Time - The Roots Ft. Phonte and Dice Raw
na. 18. Need Some Bad - Slick Rick
na. 17. American Terrorist III - Lupe Fiasco (New song over the song "Night Call" by Kavinsky, which you may recognize from the new film "Drive")
10. 16. Toast to the Dead - Immortal Technique
na. 15. Believer - Common Ft. John Legend
16. 14. 5 on the Kush - B.O.B. Ft. Big K.R.I.T., Bun B
15. 13. Cole World - J. Cole
15. 13. Cole World - J. Cole
na. 12. Who Do I Catch? - Tech N9ne (High Debut of the Week - With an Official Video)
09. 11. Murder to Excellence - Jay Z and Kanye West
12. 10. I Do - Young Jeezy Ft. Jay-Z, Andre 3000
11. 09. Slave - Tech N9ne Ft. Krizz Kaliko, Kutt Kalhouny
05. 08. Let's Roll -Yelawolf Ft. Kid Rock
08. 07. Lightwork - Lupe Fiasco Ft. Ellie Goulding and Bassnectar
06. 06. Ambition - Wale Ft. Rick Ross, Meek Mill
07. 05. Mr. Nice Watch - J.Cole Ft. Jay-Z
02. 04. Sweet - Common
04. 03. Interlude - Lil Wayne, Ft. Tech N9ne, Andre 3000
03. 02. Headlines - Drake
01. 01. Make My - The Roots Ft. Big K.R.I.T.
Odds and Ends: Baseball's Winter Talks have started to heat up and the BIG winners early on are the Anaheim Angels, signing Albert Pujols to a 10 year deal, reportedly in the 250-260 million dollar range, also know as Jordan money or Arab money. Ludicrous dollars there. The Angels also signed former Rangers ace C.J. Wilson. The newly minted Miami Marlins are also making a splash, as expected, landing Jose Reyes, and Mark Beurhrle. Here's hoping the Jays find a way to land Prince Fielder as J.P. Ricciardi has proven to be a skillful G.M. to this point - and the acquisition of closer Sergio Santos should prove to be a valuable piece as the Jays look to continue to improve as a ball club... Saw J. Edgar over the weekend with my father, though it was just fair. I realize it was a biopic so it's going to be less a story with an intriguing plot and more just a character piece, on that level I thought it was alright, but it dragged on at over 2 hours and was not all that entertaining, as far as I was concerned... Also had the chance to see Drive and it was awesome and well worth seeing, comes highly recommended. How was Kayne West's My Beautiful Twisted Fantasy not nominated for a record of the year award? One of the premiere albums of the year in my estimation, easy guy to hate sure, but you've got to respect what he's accomplished with this album.... Furthermore what the hell is the difference between "Song of the Year" and "Record of the Year"? Are those not virtually the exact same thing? And no it's not "like the difference between a song and an album?" Because there's already an Album of the Yer award for that....Screw the Grammy's. Albums dropping this week that are worth a peek are hmm Naughty by Nature's "Anthem, Inc." and Snoop and Wiz dropped another Stoner album but nothing to see here, go back to Tech N9ne's recent "Welcome to Strangeland" or Drake's "Take Care". Next week we have Common's new "The Dreamer / The Believer" album and it sounds good so far.... in theatres this week we have "The Sitter" and Robert Downey's newest "Sherlock Holmes: Game of Shadows" film. Doesn't seem "Tinker, Tailor Solider Spy"is going to be making it our way, but who knows, hopefully the Dieppe Theatre opens again soon and our options are expanded. Have a good week folks!